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IN THIS EDITION:

In INDUSTRY
COMPANY Connect
Global TRENDS
Industry Risk
Economics & Demographics
Phil Ruthven - Presentation Material
Updated Reports

DID YOU KNOW?

Generation Y are the most connected generational group the world has seen. In the US, 97% own a computer, and 15% of those are logged in 24 hours a day. Newspapers are also passé, with 34% of Gen Y's relying on the internet as their primary source of news and current affairs.


In INDUSTRY: The How of tapping into Generation 'Why?'

Generation Y is entering the workforce in record numbers and a vast array of industries are set to benefit from the spending habits of these trend setter consumers.

Born between 1980 and 1994, Generation Y – also known as Gen 'Why', Echo Boomers, or Millennials – are poised to become the most influential generational group since their Baby Boomer parents. Why? Well, for one thing, there are a lot of them. By 2011 they are expected to account for 38% of the global workforce.

They're also fundamentally changing the way we do business. Gen Y are well-educated and technologically savvy. Their focus is on lifestyle, over employment stability and financial security. Taking risks and having new experiences over habit and routine.

During their uni years, they transformed the worlds of online entertainment (think YouTube and iTunes) and communication (MySpace, Facebook anyone?) as we know it. They also embraced the love of their helicopter parents, many Gen Y's continuing to reside chez the parentals well beyond their school days. As they enter the workforce, their ephemeral disposition, rent-free, full-time incomes, and impulsive spending will continue to shape the development of a number of industries.

From food to fashion, to technology and travel, IBISWorld this month takes a look at the shopping lists of Gen Y, and a handful of the industries they're poised to impact.

Up at the top are mobiles and motor vehicles. Driven by a persistent urge to update, they have the highest rates of mobile penetration in the Mobile Telecommunications Carriers industry. But inbuilt obsolesce will not fool them. They are environmentally conscious, so want returns from their investments in technology, not a piece of plastic to add to landfill.

The number of Generation Y drivers will also continue to grow over the next decade. Remember however that this is a generation that grew up calculating their ecological footprint. They also know the current fuel crisis is about insatiable demand of a finite resource supply. So the hybrid vehicles produced by the Motor Vehicle Manufacturing industry appeal to them, as does the option to offset fuel emissions as some players in the Domestic Airlines industry are doing.

They seek meaning too, and want products that represent them and what they stand for. They are largely responsible for the increasing number of casual lines coming out of the Clothing Retailing and Footwear Retailing industries as they pursue apparel aligned with their leisurely lifestyles.

Their influence too, extends to the food industries. While, fast food negates the need for spending time preparing meals, and Gen Y's last-minute lifestyle has made them the Takeaway Food Retailing industry's largest segment. But 'certified organic', 'food miles', and 'seasonal produce' are fast becoming the staples of their lexicon, and all industries from Fruit and Vegetable Processing, to Cafes and Restaurants are set to feel the push.

This year, the first of the Generation Y's will turn 26. As increasing numbers of them enter the workforce, their relevance as a consumer group will only continue to multiply over the next decade. Considering how they'll impact not only industries, but our social, economic and political structure more broadly may provide one avenue for companies seeking to tap into their radar.


COMPANY Connect: Metcash Limited – FY2008 Results

Metcash Limited (Metcash) is an Australian publicly listed company, generating revenue through the wholesale distribution of grocery and liquor. Metcash operates three individual businesses: IGA Distribution, Campbells Wholesale and Australian Liquor Marketers (ALM). IGA Distribution is a marketing and distribution company, supplying over 2,700 independent grocery stores across Australia. Campbells Wholesale offers a range of groceries, liquor and confectionery to over 100,000 business customers. ALM is a liquor wholesaler, supplying over 13,000 hotels, liquor stores and restaurants throughout Australia and New Zealand.

Metcash reported a sales growth of 4.5%, from $9.76 billion to $10.20 billion, for the year ended 30 April 2008. Net profit after tax increased from $166.8 million to $197.4 million, a year on year growth of 18.4%. Earnings per share grew by 16.7% from 22.15 cents to 25.86 cents. All of the three major divisions, which experienced moderate to solid growth despite tighter economic conditions, contributed to these positive results. Net profit margin increased from 1.71% to 1.94%. This margin improvement was driven by the economies of scale achieved from the full integration of Foodland Associated Limited's Australian operations, which were acquired during FY2006.

Management are moderately optimistic on the outlook of Metcash for FY2009 in spite of higher fuel prices, increased food costs and higher interest costs. Earnings per share before amortisation have been forecast to be between 28.3 cents and 29.3 cents, representing a growth of 6.0% to 10.0% on FY2008.

Divisional Overview

IGA Distribution

Sales from IGA Distribution grew by 7.4% from $5.6 billion to $6.0 billion, despite the negative impact of the closure of the Blacktown (New South Wales) distribution centre. Metcash continued to gain market share during the year, up from 18.6% in FY 2007 to 19.2% in FY 2008.

Campbells Wholesale

Sales from Campbells Wholesale grew by 9.4% from $1.4 billion to $1.55 billion. This was fuelled by new clients won during the year and organic expansion achieved through solid sales growth in confectionery and primary stock categories.

Australian Liquor Marketers (ALM)

Sales from ALM increased 1.9% from $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion. This moderate result was achieved in the face of heavy competition and discounting by major liquor chains as well as the loss of the Hedley/Coles contract.


GLOBAL TRENDS: Enter Gen Y – how they will shape the workforce for decades to come

Generation Y see work differently to previous generations. Their expectations and aspirations may be unfamiliar to management and senior staff. As they enter the workforce in increasing numbers, IBISWorld takes a look at the global impact of this shift in workplace dynamics.

Generation Y are a hot commodity, poised to make an impact not only on the world of technology and communication and as we know it, but business and the way we work. And not without reason. Gen Y offer a set of highly desirable traits to potential employers. They are well-educated, technology savvy, and analytical. They possess a healthy degree of cynicism and are skeptical of the media.

Perhaps rightly so. They've grown up under the watchful eye of demographers and marketers seeking to forecast and profit from their every need and want. Bombarded by a constant stream of both overt advertising and indirect 'viral marketing', Gen Y have developed strong social networks as a means of resolving conflicting messages, and streamlining information flows.

Their influence has already had a sizeable impact on the Global Wireless Telecommunications Carriers industry, where their need for connectedness has seen mobile phone penetration and handset throughput in this generational group reach its highest level. Their need for self expression has also impacted the Global Apparel Manufacturing and Global Footwear Manufacturing industries in a different way. As Gen Y have sought brands and clothing congruent with their lifestyle, the apparel and footwear industries have responded by increasing their casual lines. Business and the way in which we work are next.

This is not a generation that places value hierarchy, structure and re-enforcing the status quo. They're here to challenge it. And, what's more they have the capacity to do so. Critically, this is a generation that understands that the way we do things will constantly change, and they will evolve with it. Experience in how thing 'were' done is not resonate with them. They want to know how things 'will be' done.

Generation Y could simultaneously prove to be the Global Human Resource and Employment Services industry's dream and employers worst nightmare. But they don’t have to be. Although it's likely they will be one of the next big challenges for the Global Management Consultants industry, the opportunity to engage, inspire and challenge this adaptable workforce should not be missed.

Generation Y grew up with friends from all corners of the globe, speaking many different dialects and languages. Regardless of race, ethnicity, gender, disability, sexual orientation or age, they believe everyone should have their say. They don't merely tolerate diversity, they embrace it. As a result, they are better able to work in diverse, global organizations that any generation before them.

Instead of criticizing their perceived tendencies towards irresponsibility, disloyalty and desires for instant gratification, it is perhaps time to leverage their unique skill set. 'Cultural diversity', 'teams', 'communication', 'networking', 'mentoring', 'emotional intelligence'… Gen Y get these attributes, many even embody them, and, provided they can part from the jargon and 'techniques' bestow on generations before them, business is likely to benefit from Gen Y's innovative ways of working.


Industry Risk: A late start to the ski season

The July school holidays are traditionally the peak of the Australian ski season. Snow falls at Falls Creek, Perisher Blue and Thredbo all passed the half-metre mark at the beginning of the month. A cold snap has also assisted in the use of snow-making equipment, resulting in 27 lifts operating at Perisher Blue and 10 at Thredbo at time of writing.

Risk in the Ski Lifts and Other Personal Transport industry is forecast to be at a MEDIUM level over the 2008-09 outlook period, an increase from the LOW level recorded over the previous two years. This increase in risk is attributable to expectations of generally slowing economic growth, with this industry's revenue growth forecast to slow to 1.2% for the year.

On the other hand, risk in the Hotel Accommodation industry, which includes resorts, is expected to be at a MEDIUM-HIGH level for the second consecutive year. However, strength is seen in growth in the number of overseas visitors to Australia, particularly from China, India and other parts of Asia. As a result, IBISWorld expects industry revenue to grow by 3.2% in 2008-09.

Below is an outline of the historical and forecast risk score of the above mentioned industries. These can be compared to overall risk for the Australian economy.

Industry Name 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Ski Lifts and Other Personal Transport 5.16 4.29 4.07 4.07 4.70
Hotel Accommodation 5.28 4.30 4.64 5.48 5.52
Australian Economy 4.75 4.79 4.60 4.74 4.79

Industry reports relating to this article are:

Ski Lifts and Other Personal Transport
Hotel Accommodation

Economic Scoreboard

Date Score
GDP (seas. adj.) Mar qtr 08(annual) 3.60%
Consumer Price Index